Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 6.829328 7.948148 9.156460 10.554038 12.121435 13.820472 15.796792
2026-01-18 5.076269 6.512344 8.184312 10.257948 12.742779 15.606209 19.135725
2026-01-25 4.033899 5.590139 7.511205 10.023117 13.183803 16.989969 21.876878
2026-02-01 3.280552 4.868542 6.931861 9.754670 13.454998 18.075298 24.206531
2026-02-08 2.715884 4.294775 6.444729 9.507894 13.670733 19.034202 26.355207
2026-02-15 2.250586 3.784175 5.967985 9.199985 13.740699 19.760192 28.187244
2026-02-22 1.980883 3.516742 5.791159 9.269327 14.295674 21.120037 30.876456
2026-03-01 1.746363 3.268376 5.608693 9.300254 14.777313 22.379436 33.458380
2026-03-08 1.557945 3.066610 5.470449 9.373374 15.306232 23.708288 36.167367
2026-03-15 1.382502 2.861727 5.302948 9.379704 15.723250 24.880863 38.685121
2026-03-22 1.279047 2.767810 5.301389 9.636396 16.517669 26.614127 42.045099
2026-03-29 1.176763 2.661927 5.267337 9.832397 17.220188 28.230254 45.280765
2026-04-05 1.056886 2.509217 5.142011 9.873496 17.688565 29.527516 48.115178
2026-04-12 0.903346 2.268218 4.837219 9.588287 17.616964 30.002168 49.743826
2026-04-19 0.779233 2.067712 4.583427 9.365960 17.625263 30.586040 51.539814
2026-04-26 0.667893 1.876237 4.325302 9.112028 17.559203 31.040445 53.140365
2026-05-03 0.573636 1.706825 4.090670 8.878661 17.507588 31.504949 54.758303
2026-05-10 0.486268 1.537676 3.837231 8.587571 17.334238 31.758272 56.043170
2026-05-17 0.441691 1.466030 3.775985 8.653117 17.782651 33.028698 58.959711
2026-05-24 0.398773 1.391155 3.699781 8.682352 18.164097 34.197123 61.741451
2026-05-31 0.363302 1.329925 3.646569 8.751477 18.617370 35.495336 64.762569
2026-06-07 0.327013 1.259649 3.565575 8.757461 18.952111 36.601149 67.496683
2026-06-14 0.309392 1.240591 3.599614 9.000173 19.734606 38.487578 71.552807